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The 2025 Indo-Pakistan conflict became a high-tech military showcase, highlighting China’s rising defense exports and the growing role of drones in future warfare.

In 2025, Operation Sindoor—India’s retaliatory campaign following the Pahalgam terrorist attacks—ignited one of the most perilous Indo-Pakistani military escalations in recent memory. What could have spiraled into an all-out war was ultimately defused by U.S.-brokered diplomacy. But unlike previous episodes of saber-rattling across the Line of Control, this confrontation was less a rehash of familiar hostilities and more a technological inflection point. The conflict served as a proving ground for a new era of warfare, marked not just by regional animosities but by a global arms showcase, where Chinese fighter jets and Israeli drones took center stage.

The reaction was predictably jingoistic—Indian and Pakistani media outlets fed nationalist fervor while social media teemed with armchair generals. But what caught the West’s attention wasn’t the sloganeering or even the risk of nuclear confrontation. It was Beijing’s “Sputnik moment.” For the first time, Chinese-manufactured weapons not only matched but, in some cases, outperformed Western arms, sending a tremor through traditional perceptions of the global military hierarchy. The skirmish was less a bilateral crisis than a preview of tomorrow’s wars—fought with imported drones, digitally networked battlefields, and geopolitically outsourced firepower.

Dragon vs. Falcon: The J-10C Meets the Rafale

Even under the weight of a grinding economic downturn, Pakistan has leaned heavily on China for its defense needs—sourcing more than 80% of its military hardware from its northern benefactor. The Chengdu J-10C, a fourth-generation fighter dubbed the “Vigorous Dragon,” became a centerpiece of Pakistan’s air strategy after its acquisition in 2022. For India, the French-made Rafale fighter—delivered the same year—signaled a decisive pivot toward Western suppliers, moving away from its traditional reliance on Russian MiGs.

Until the recent crisis, the J-10C’s actual combat effectiveness remained largely speculative. While it had patrolled the Taiwan Strait, it had never engaged in active combat. That changed during the 2025 skirmishes. French intelligence reported that a Rafale was downed during the conflict—the first known loss of the aircraft in combat. If confirmed, the implications are seismic: the parity of Chinese aircraft with elite Western models may no longer be theoretical.

Reports remain unverified, but the financial markets responded with certainty—shares of the J-10C’s manufacturer reportedly soared, with market capitalization increasing by 55 billion yuan (roughly $7.6 billion). Strategically, Pakistan’s closer integration with China—hastened after India’s 2019 Balakot airstrikes—now appears not just ideological but pragmatic. The battlefield is becoming a joint venture.

Drones in the Subcontinental Skies

For the first time in an Indo-Pakistani conflict, drones played a starring role, redefining how power is projected and contested. India’s indigenous “Akash” air defense system reportedly intercepted several Turkish-made Byker YIHA-III kamikaze drones and Songar drones from Asisguard. Meanwhile, Pakistan claimed it had downed 25 Indian drones—Israeli-made—over cities like Karachi, Lahore, and Rawalpindi.

India’s defense relationship with Israel has deepened significantly in the past decade, resulting in nearly $3 billion in military purchases, including surveillance systems, radar arrays, and the now-notorious Harop drones. Capable of flying at altitudes of 35,000 feet—well beyond most anti-aircraft systems—the Harop was designed for high-risk strike missions. Unlike manned fighter jets, Harops are engineered for one-way, suicide-style operations.

Pakistani defense analysts argue that India’s drone doctrine—dubbed “cold swamp warfare”—was a tactical hedge, allowing it to limit human losses while testing the lethality of unmanned systems. Interestingly, Pakistan’s success in intercepting Harops may have had foreign assistance. Given Islamabad’s deepening ties with Baku, some speculate that Azerbaijan, which successfully used Harops against Armenian forces in 2020, shared crucial tactical insights.

The Shape of Wars to Come

The Indo-Pakistani military standoff was brief—just 18 days—but its implications are enduring. Beyond the dust of airstrikes and drone interceptions, the crisis served as a theatrical display for global defense markets. China’s performance will have a lasting impact on arms deals in Africa, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia. While it’s premature to crown Beijing the victor—its J-10C still remains untested against American-made fighters over Taiwan—its credibility as a weapons supplier has been substantially bolstered.

Perhaps most significantly, the episode underscores how both India and Pakistan have become increasingly reliant on limited war doctrines like Cold Start—enabling rapid mobilization without breaching the nuclear threshold. That threshold, it seems, remains the final taboo. In the meantime, South Asia’s wars are becoming proxy-laden exhibitions—drones replacing dogfights, algorithms replacing infantry. The next war may be shorter, sharper, and far more technologically choreographed.

For now, the region dodged catastrophe. But the hardware has been tested. The rehearsals are over. The stage is set.

Punsara Amarasinghe holds a PhD in International Law from Scuola Universitaria Superiore Sant'Anna in Pisa, Italy. He also holds a Master of Laws from South Asian University, New Delhi and completed his undergraduate studies in law at the University of Colombo, Sri Lanka. Previously, Punsara worked as a research assistant at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow in 2018 for a project on Russian legal realism. He also held two visiting research fellowships at the University of Wisconsin Madison and at Paris's esteemed Sciences PO. For a brief period, he worked at the Minerva Center for Human Rights at Hebrew University, Jerusalem.

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