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Djibouti’s Strategic Gamble: Building Alliances and Hubs in the Horn of Africa
11.14.2024
Djibouti is leveraging its strategic location and diplomatic neutrality to establish itself as a critical economic and military hub in the Horn of Africa.
The Horn of Africa, a region fraught with economic challenges and security threats, also holds promising opportunities for nations ready to leverage their unique strengths. In this complex landscape, Djibouti is positioning itself as a strategic economic and trade center. By blending calculated investments with diplomatic overtures, Djibouti is laying the groundwork for a future in which it becomes indispensable to its neighbors and allies.
In a pivotal step, Djibouti has extended an offer to Ethiopia, proposing joint management of the Tajoura Port to provide the landlocked nation with direct access to the sea. Concurrently, South Sudan has acquired land on Djibouti’s coast with plans to build a port for oil exports, providing an alternative route to the Red Sea and reducing its dependency on Sudan. These moves emphasize Djibouti’s growing importance in the Horn of Africa and East Africa, a role magnified by its critical location along the Red Sea and near the Gulf of Aden.
The Drivers Behind Djibouti’s Strategic Moves
Djibouti’s invitation to Ethiopia to share management of the Tajoura Port stems from a need to realize returns on its significant investments in this infrastructure. In recent years, Djibouti has invested approximately $60 million in developing the port and another $110 million to construct a road connecting Tajoura to the state of Baloh. However, these efforts have yet to yield the anticipated results; currently, the port sees only minimal traffic, with one ship docking every two months, as Djiboutian Foreign Minister Mohamed Ali Youssef highlighted. Djibouti views this joint management with Ethiopia as a way to ensure these assets are fully utilized.
Beyond Ethiopia, Djibouti’s vision for regional integration extends to South Sudan, where a mutually beneficial arrangement has emerged. Djibouti has offered South Sudan a port location to facilitate its oil export, thereby providing South Sudan with a diversified export route. With an alternative transit path, South Sudan can mitigate its reliance on Sudan, which remains unstable due to ongoing internal conflict. The arrangement also benefits Djibouti, adding a new dimension to its portfolio of regional partnerships and showcasing its value as a critical node in East Africa’s trade networks.
Djibouti, as a Regional Diplomat and Stabilizer
Djibouti’s recent moves reflect more than economic ambition—they are part of a larger diplomatic strategy to reduce regional tensions. The Horn of Africa is embroiled in numerous conflicts, including heightened friction between Ethiopia and Somalia. Tensions spiked following Ethiopia’s Memorandum of Understanding with Somaliland, which allowed Ethiopia access to Somaliland’s coast. However, Somalia views this deal as an infringement on its sovereignty. By offering Ethiopia access to Tajoura, Djibouti is enhancing its own economic role and working to defuse hostilities between Ethiopia and Somalia, maintaining stability in the region.
In parallel, the conflict in Sudan has underscored the need for more resilient trade routes. South Sudan, in particular, has faced significant disruptions as the crisis in Sudan affects its primary oil pipeline. Djibouti’s coastal facilities provide a crucial alternative, ensuring South Sudan’s crude oil exports have a stable path to international markets. Through such efforts, Djibouti is positioning itself as a regional mediator and a stabilizing force, attempting to preempt the spread of military conflicts in the Horn of Africa.
The Power of Geography: Djibouti’s Strategic Location
Djibouti’s location on the Red Sea and near the Gulf of Aden places it at the center of global military and economic interest. Uniquely, it is the only country to host both American and Chinese military bases. Additional bases from France, Italy, Spain, Japan, and potentially Russia and India further highlight Djibouti’s geopolitical significance. These military installations provide Djibouti with considerable security benefits and a financial boost, with an estimated annual income of over $200 million from hosting foreign bases. The presence of these bases has been pivotal in countering regional piracy and stabilizing the surrounding waters.
The Bab al-Mandab Strait, through which an estimated 10-20% of global trade flows, underscores the importance of Djibouti’s location for international shipping. More than 20,000 vessels traverse this route annually, making it one of the world’s busiest maritime corridors. Recognizing this, European nations recently launched “Mission Aspides” to secure the Red Sea passageways and ensure the safety of ships traveling through the region. Djibouti’s willingness to host military powers serves a dual purpose—maintaining regional security while reinforcing its relevance as a cornerstone of global trade infrastructure.
Djibouti’s Vision: The “Singapore of East Africa”
Djibouti’s government pursues a delicate diplomatic balance, fostering relationships with diverse global powers without fully aligning with any nation. This approach has enabled Djibouti to preserve its non-alignment stance, an asset in attracting both military and economic partnerships. Under the leadership of President Ismail Omar Guelleh, recently appointed as the chair of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), Djibouti has intensified its outreach to African countries.
These efforts are part of a broader ambition to elevate Djibouti’s regional influence while supporting its bid for the African Union Commission chairperson role. Djibouti has advocated lifting sanctions on South Sudan, further enhancing its image as a reliable partner in East Africa.
In its drive to become the “Singapore of East Africa,” Djibouti capitalizes on its stability and geography. The nation’s strategy emphasizes constructive diplomacy and economic pragmatism, cultivating ties with various countries while avoiding dependency on any single power. As the Horn of Africa garners increasing attention from regional and global powers, Djibouti’s unique combination of political stability, strategic location, and non-aligned policy places it in a prime position to lead.
Djibouti stands out as the Horn of Africa commands the attention of world powers. While other nations in the region also host foreign military bases, Djibouti’s position is distinctive due to its geographic importance, political stability, and diplomatic agility. By embracing a balanced approach to international relations and maintaining its independence, Djibouti has transformed itself into an essential hub for East Africa—one that could ultimately redefine its role on the global stage, mirroring Singapore’s journey as a pivotal Asian port city.
Zinab Mostafa Roweha is a PhD researcher in International Relations, with seven years of experience in research. Zinab's focus is on Africa and the Middle East.