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The U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear sites have created uncertainty in a region already on the brink.

War, so often cloaked in the language of necessity, has once again come to define the contours of the Middle East. On June 22, the United States launched coordinated strikes on three of Iran’s key nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Within hours, President Donald Trump announced that Iran’s nuclear infrastructure had been “neutralized,” boasting that its atomic ambitions had been decisively dismantled.

But the dust had barely settled before it became clear this was no endgame. Instead, Washington’s dramatic move has thrust the region into a new and volatile phase of open warfare. The legality of the strike is already under fierce scrutiny. Iran, a longstanding signatory of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), insists that its uranium enrichment program is purely peaceful. That diplomatic channels were still in play when the missiles were launched has only deepened concerns that the U.S. may have violated the UN Charter—and with it, the fragile scaffolding of international law. The strike has set a perilous precedent, one that could unravel decades of non-proliferation efforts and upend the global order.

In Tehran, outrage was swift. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi condemned the U.S. action as “outrageous” and affirmed Iran’s right to defend its sovereignty. Appearing on national television, he accused President Trump of betraying both diplomacy and the American electorate, asserting that the military campaign served the ambitions of the Israeli government more than U.S. national interest. Araghchi reaffirmed Iran’s commitment to peaceful uranium enrichment, characterizing the strikes as a violation of the very international rules the U.S. claims to uphold.

Tehran did not wait long to retaliate. According to Iranian state media, long-range missiles struck several Israeli targets, including Ben Gurion Airport, command centers, and even a biological research facility. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed responsibility, and the implication was unmistakable: the United States’ entanglement in this war had lit the match, and now the fire is spreading.

Washington’s entry into the fray has triggered a cascade of consequences—military, political, and moral. The imbalance of power is stark. Israel enjoys the unflinching support of the U.S., as well as that of the UK and much of Europe. Iran, meanwhile, stands isolated but defiant. Iranian officials have vowed to resist all aggression and reject any notion of capitulation. A deeper question lingers beneath the immediate fallout: Was this Washington’s greatest strategic blunder? By choosing escalation over engagement, has the U.S. forfeited its credibility as an arbiter of international norms?

The tactical gains from the airstrike appear minimal. While Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan were hit, Iran’s critical nuclear infrastructure remains largely operational. Instead of halting Tehran’s ambitions, the strikes have hardened Iranian resolve. Reports now suggest that sympathetic states may offer Iran access to nuclear warhead technology, intensifying fears of a new arms race. Once hailed as a “President of Peace,” Trump now finds his administration engulfed in yet another Middle Eastern war—one that risks spiraling into a full-scale confrontation.

Israel, far from being insulated, is now squarely in the crosshairs. Missiles have landed in its cities, and the sense of national security has been replaced by panic. Ironically, instead of weakening Iran, the U.S. strikes appear to have emboldened it. The attack has rallied the Iranian public around their leadership, silencing internal dissent and transforming a fractured society into a unified front.

What comes next may redefine the regional balance of power. Iran’s parliament has approved a resolution to close the Strait of Hormuz—a narrow but indispensable artery through which nearly 20 percent of global oil and gas flows. It’s a choke point, both literal and symbolic. Its closure could strangle energy exports from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, and Iran itself. For major importers like China, India, and Japan, the economic implications are enormous. Tehran may also exit the NPT entirely, resuming nuclear enrichment with few constraints.

Meanwhile, ripple effects are spreading. Jordan has called for the cancellation of its gas deal with Israel following supply disruptions. Across the region, U.S. allies are reassessing their positions. And in Washington, condemnation has erupted from lawmakers and citizens alike. Many have criticized the strike as unconstitutional, arguing that it was carried out without congressional authorization. Policy analysts argue that the move shatters the foundation of Trump’s “America First” campaign, which promised a retreat from costly foreign wars. Instead, the administration appears to have embraced preemption—at great strategic and moral cost.

Even the international community, often fractured, is unified in concern. UN Secretary-General António Guterres labeled the U.S. move a “dangerous escalation.” The UN Security Council is scheduled to meet in emergency session on June 23, following urgent requests from Russia, China, and Iran’s UN representative. A chorus of condemnation has emerged from Turkey, China, Russia, Pakistan, and a range of Muslim-majority nations. The message is clear: this conflict must be resolved not through bombs, but through negotiations.

The consequences of Washington’s decision extend well beyond the immediate military theatre. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a global energy crisis of unprecedented proportions. Iran’s potential withdrawal from the Non-Proliferation Treaty could mark the death knell for the international nuclear agreement architecture. Rather than isolating Iran, the U.S. has fueled its nationalism, legitimized its regional assertiveness, and undermined the very system of laws it claims to uphold.

As the world watches the UN reconvene, a pivotal choice stands before us: embrace diplomacy and multilateralism, or tumble further into the abyss of militarism and chaos. The cost of escalation will not be borne by the Middle East alone. It will reverberate through the oil markets of Asia, the political chambers of Europe, and the fractured domestic politics of the United States. It will ripple across generations, reshaping the world’s geopolitical landscape—and possibly, its future.

Saima Afzal is a Research Scholar and Analyst at Pakistan’s National Defence University. Saima regularly contributes to various forums on contemporary issues of national and international security.

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