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The Empire of Sanctions is Cracking—and the World Is Pushing Back
08.01.2025
The global dominance of the U.S. dollar is eroding as countries push back against its use as a tool of geopolitical coercion and seek a more balanced financial order
For decades, the U.S. dollar reigned supreme—not because of consensus or fairness, but because of history’s momentum and America’s strategic design. As the global reserve currency, it afforded Washington what French President Valéry Giscard d’Estaing once described as an “exorbitant privilege”: the ability to borrow cheaply, sustain trade deficits indefinitely, and export financial shocks with relative immunity. But that privilege has metastasized. The dollar is no longer just a medium of exchange or a reserve asset—it has become a geopolitical weapon. Under the guise of sanctions, the U.S. has recast global finance as a field of battle, turning what were once multilateral norms into instruments of unilateral power.
Trust, once the glue of the international financial system, has been conscripted into the service of strategic coercion.
From Bretton Woods to Brute Power
The dollar’s postwar ascent was enshrined in the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement, which pegged global currencies to the dollar—and the dollar to gold. That system collapsed in 1971, when President Richard Nixon unilaterally severed the dollar’s convertibility to gold, inaugurating an era of floating exchange rates. What followed wasn’t merely a new monetary regime, but a recalibration of global power. The U.S. struck deals to denominate oil in dollars, creating the petrodollar and binding the world to its currency. The arrangement offered predictability and liquidity—but also dependence.
Over time, the dollar’s utility became a source of leverage. Washington exploited its monetary centrality to surveil, pressure, and penalize—the clearest example: the vast expansion of economic sanctions.
Sanctions: From Justice to Hegemony
Once described as precise tools for addressing terrorism, nuclear proliferation, or human rights abuses, sanctions have swelled into an expansive web of coercion. Today, the U.S. imposes sanctions on more than two dozen countries.
Thousands of individuals and entities are blacklisted by the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC). Central banks have seen their reserves seized; heads of state declared persona non grata in the international financial system. Iran, Venezuela, Syria, and Russia have all been ejected from the bloodstream of global commerce—often without UN mandates or international consultation, but by fiat from a small cadre of unelected officials in Washington.
This approach blurs the line between legitimate security interests and imperial overreach. After the Taliban’s return to power, Afghanistan’s central bank reserves were frozen, choking off humanitarian aid. In Iran, when access to the SWIFT payment system was denied, it wasn’t nuclear scientists who suffered—it was cancer patients, unable to obtain life-saving medicine.
The Trump Doctrine: Coercion, Unmasked
Donald Trump’s presidency didn’t invent economic coercion, but it stripped away the pretense. Trump’s “America First” doctrine weaponized tariffs, scrapped multilateral agreements, and sidelined international bodies. The Iran nuclear deal was torn up. Tariffs were levied on allies. The World Trade Organization was treated with contempt. What remained of the rules-based order gave way to naked transactionalism.
The message was unambiguous: Trade with America, but only on America’s terms. Hold your reserves in dollars, but understand they can be frozen. Dissent, and face economic strangulation. This wasn’t just a policy shift—it was a worldview. Arbitrary. Aggressive. Unapologetic. And it triggered alarms across the Global South.
The Rebellion Against Dollar Dependency
Gradually, countries began to see dollar dependence not as a convenience but a vulnerability. A silent rebellion is now underway—one that’s redrawing the contours of global finance. BRICS, once a loose acronym, has evolved into a coalition of discontent. With its expansion into BRICS+, the bloc now includes oil exporters, manufacturing giants, and major emerging markets, collectively representing a substantial portion of global GDP and population.
These nations are no longer content to protest dollar hegemony—they’re building alternatives. From bilateral trade agreements in local currencies to the development of independent payment systems, a quiet revolution is gaining traction.
Even longtime U.S. allies are hedging. France’s recent payment for LNG in Chinese yuan may be symbolic, but it signals something deeper: an erosion of confidence. The dollar’s grip is loosening—not abruptly, but unmistakably.
What’s at Stake: Beyond the Greenback
This isn’t about antipathy toward America—it’s about asserting dignity. For too long, dollar supremacy has meant sovereignty on a leash. Reserves can be frozen. Access to SWIFT can be revoked. Interest rate hikes in Washington can destabilize distant economies. In this context, true sovereignty isn’t just about borders or flags—it’s about control over capital, trade routes, and monetary tools.
The Dollar’s Strength—and Its Fragility
By most metrics, the dollar remains unassailable. It dominates global trade invoicing, comprises the bulk of central bank reserves, and dwarfs competitors in scale and liquidity. But the erosion underway isn’t one of numbers—it’s one of trust.
And trust isn’t captured in quarterly reports or bond yields. It’s betrayed in the whisper of diplomats urging “financial sovereignty,” in the repatriation of gold, in the gradual construction of parallel systems.
This is the paradox of dollar dominance: it is both powerful and precarious. Its strength lies in inertia. Its weakness lies in the hubris that its role is eternal.
Toward a More Balanced Order
A multipolar financial system isn’t a threat to the U.S.—it’s a guardrail against abuse. When no single actor can dictate terms, the system becomes more resilient. Trade becomes freer. Nations breathe easier. Sovereignty, long subordinated to the dollar’s shadow, begins to reassert itself. The Global South isn’t rising out of vengeance. It’s rising out of necessity. What it seeks is not charity or confrontation, but fairness. Not domination, but dignity.
A New Bretton Woods?
It may be time for a new Bretton Woods—one rooted in 21st-century realities. A system that reflects technological shifts and geopolitical realignments. One in which no single currency or country holds the keys to the kingdom. Such a framework must be grounded not in coercion, but in cooperation. The current order is cracking not because the world craves disorder, but because the U.S. has mismanaged its privilege. It overplayed its hand. It mistook compliance for consensus.
Now, as the empire of sanctions begins to fracture, the world is experimenting with a different path—plural, less coercive, and perhaps more just.
The End of an Era
The story of the dollar isn’t over—but the chapter of unchallenged supremacy is closing fast. What began as a framework for global convenience has hardened into a mechanism of political coercion. Today’s pushback—from de-dollarization to gold repatriation to regional payment networks—isn’t merely tactical. It is philosophical. It is generational. It reflects a shift in how sovereignty is defined, and how legitimacy is earned.
The U.S. still commands immense financial power. But it is losing the one asset it cannot print: credibility. Sanctions, once a quiet assertion of dominance, now function as warnings—urging others to diversify, de-risk, and disconnect.
We are at an inflection point. A future global order could still include the U.S.—as a partner, not a punisher. But if the dollar remains a cudgel rather than a scaffold, the world will find other tools. When it does, what was once a privilege will be remembered as the spark of resistance.
Mohammad Ibrahim Fheili is currently serving as an Executive in Residence with Suliman S. Olayan School of Business (OSB) at the American University of Beirut (AUB), a Risk Strategist, and Capacity Building Expert with focus on the financial sector. He has served in a number of financial institutions in the Levant region. He served as an advisor to the Union of Arab Banks, and the World Union of Arab Bankers on risk and capacity building. Mohammad taught economics, banking and risk management at Louisiana State University (LSU) - Baton Rouge, and the Lebanese American University (LAU) - Beirut. Mohammad received his university education at Louisiana State University, main campus in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.