The Platform

Photo illustration by John Lyman

The next decade holds immense uncertainty for Europe.

Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel once said, “War dispels the dark clouds gathering over the world.” He is one of my most esteemed philosophers. He posits that numerous issues can be resolved through warfare.

In a speech delivered at Paris’ esteemed Sorbonne University, French President Emmanuel Macron articulated a stark warning: Europe is facing an existential risk, one he described as a “risk of dying.”

Macron pointed to the continent’s lagging production of military armaments and argued vehemently for an acceleration in this area to address the looming challenges effectively. To fortify Europe’s defense capabilities, he proposed the creation of a European military academy aimed at training elite military personnel, highlighting the necessity of strengthening defenses against “risks of hostile global powers.”

Further into his address, Macron elaborated on Europe’s precarious position in the global defense industry. He argued for a strategic realignment, suggesting that Europe should prioritize procurement from its domestic defense sector. His remarks underscored the urgency of reevaluating Europe’s defense strategy at a time when its global competitiveness appears increasingly vulnerable.

Discussing the upcoming European Parliament elections, Macron delineated the ideological battleground between far-right parties, which he characterized as embracing pacifism, and globalists, whom he accused of nudging the world towards conflict. He firmly opposed the prospect of a Russian victory in Ukraine, advocating for a strategic framework post-conflict that would ensure border security and capitalize on potential energy cooperation with Russia.

The discourse on global alliances and their future configurations remains fraught with uncertainty. The potential for a right-leaning victory in the European Parliament elections has sparked significant concern among both American and British governments, anxious about the prospective direction of European policy, particularly within key nations such as Germany and France.

Parallel to France’s defense initiatives, Germany has taken significant steps by committing to a substantial expansion of its military capabilities. This is a reflection of its economic dominance in the European Union. A pivotal element in this period is Germany’s engagement with Turkey, deemed its most strategically significant neighbor in terms of ensuring Europe’s prosperity and stability, given Turkey’s impressive military capabilities, burgeoning military technology sector, and crucial geographical position.

The potential re-election of Donald Trump in November casts a long shadow over these developments, with profound implications for Europe’s foreign policy orientation. A Trump victory could radically alter the U.S. stance on Europe, particularly urging a reduction in economic ties with China. This scenario anticipates a divergence in economic policies that could precipitate a substantial downturn in both Germany’s and Europe’s broader economic fortunes.

As Europe stands at this critical juncture, the next decade looms as potentially one of the most dangerous and transformative periods in recent history. Key electoral outcomes and strategic decisions will decisively shape the trajectory for the years to come. The rhetoric surrounding these elections, particularly Trump’s slogan of “Make America Great Again,” hints at an economic struggle with far-reaching global repercussions.

The preparations for potential conflicts, the intensification of intelligence and espionage activities, and the escalation of economic disputes underscore the necessity for vigilant monitoring of international developments, especially in the aftermath of the U.S. elections. The prospect of severe sanctions, particularly in technology, should Trump be re-elected, underscores the high stakes involved as Europe navigates this tumultuous epoch.

Kanan Heydarov holds a Bachelor's degree in International Law Relations from Georgia Technical University and a Master's degree in Advanced Management Finance from the esteemed Polish University of Economics and Human Sciences. With over seven years of experience, he specializes in analyzing geopolitical events with global ramifications. Currently based in Poland, Kanan leads groundbreaking research initiatives, unraveling the intricacies of global affairs.