Will Walker Win?
In short, no.
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker’s ideology is too partisan and inconsistent, and both his major initiatives and image have been unpopular at the state and national level. These factors may not bar him from a Republican presidential nomination, but it certainly bars him from a successful national campaign. Despite these circumstances, Walker has announced his candidacy.
Here’s why Walker simply cannot win:
Highly Partisan Positions
Presidential candidates must run a reasonably middle-of-the-road campaign in order to appeal to the majority of Americans. Walker’s policies and statements have been hyper-partisan to the point of extremism.
For example, Walker stoked far-out fears that President Obama is Muslim. When asked about whether or not President Obama was a Christian, Walker responded by saying he “did not know.”
This statement came despite being informed that President Obama has clarified his religious beliefs several times.
Walker has tried to push through the dogmatic Wisconsin Assembly Bill 237, banning abortions after 20 weeks, regardless of incest or rape. If an abortion is performed, the bill allows the father to sue the physician and/or mother for “distress.” Amongst his base, banning abortions in cases of incest and rape is highly unusual, supported only by a small percentage of Americans nationwide; suing a physician and/or mother is unheard of.
Scott Walker has both created prison overcrowding with excessively harsh sentences and decried overcrowding as a “threat” to “our public safety.” Walker claims Wisconsin is safer with limited parole opportunities and “truth in sentencing” laws that create longer incarceration periods, but the data shows otherwise. Longer incarceration periods do not mean safer streets. “In 1972 we had about 200,000 people in prison. We now have about 1.2 million people in prison. We have six times the number of people locked up, and we have basically the same crime rate we had.”
Walker consistently preaches: “We need to get government out of the way and back in the hands of the American people.” But what could be more intrusive than legislators peering into the homes and the bedrooms of American citizens?
In New Hampshire, Walker “made clear” he “does not support a House bill that bans the National Security Agency’s mass surveillance program.” Despite his “small government” mantra, when it came time to decide, he supported the most “big brother” program “big government” has.
Walker claims he’s trying to decrease the number of abortions by limiting reproductive rights, but the vast bulk of scientific research says otherwise. Studies have shown again and again, the best way to decrease the number of abortions is to support birth control coverage, something he’s actively fought against.
Walker has also worked to pass numerous bills further suppressing reproductive rights, like supporting the repeal of the Contraceptive Equity law, and trying to end “all funding of family planning clinics which offer contraceptive care”—going so far as to dismantle clinics without abortion services. Nationally, about 3/5ths of Americans oppose prohibitions against federally funding health clinics with reproductive care.
Scott Walker narrowly survived a serious attempt to throw him out of office—not a good sign for a politician hoping to make it to the national stage. 56% of Wisconsin’s voters say they disapprove of his job as governor and the majority of Wisconsinites believe Wisconsin is “headed down the wrong track.”
Walker’s “right to work” union busting gathered only the minority’s support and Walker’s had to fight blowback for outsourcing jobs. Worse still, Walker’s boasted about all of the opposition he faced instead of addressing criticisms seriously. In response to a question about how he’d handle ISIS, Walker compared union workers to terrorists: “If I can take on 100,000 protesters, I can do the same across the globe.”
Even Walker’s beloved budgets have been unpopular. 63% of Wisconsinites said their state’s budget situation is either worse or the same as it was a few years ago. 78% of Wisconsin voters opposed Walker’s $127 million cut to Wisconsin schools, and 78% of voters opposed his 13% budget cut to Wisconsin’s universities. In addition, 79% of voters opposed his allocation of 220 million to the Milwaukee Bucks’ stadium.
Walker supported bills prohibiting same-sex marriage and declaring same-sex unions in other states invalid and attempted to change the state constitution to redefine marriage. Same-sex marriage is now legal nationwide, and public support stands strongly behind same-sex marriage. Walker vehemently opposes the new legal standard, claiming the Supreme Court made a “grave mistake.”
With Walker’s announcement we will see some initial excitement about the self-proclaimed “Washington outsider.” But, unfortunately for Walker, the luster is sure to fade as the nation probes his highly partisan positions and numerous inconsistencies. Walker’s unpopular positions and shrinking popularity in Wisconsin will only be amplified upon reaching the national stage.